How long would supplies last?

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Evan4000
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How long would supplies last?

Post by Evan4000 » Sat Feb 11, 2012 1:09 pm

Hi I am new here so I do not know if this is the right place for this but I was wondering how long would it take for likes like running water, electricity, the internet, phone lines stuff like that to go out? I know it is depended on the situation so lets say their was no time for the government to collapse or anything everything is normal than the next day 90% of the population are zombies.

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ZombieGranny
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Re: How long would supplies last?

Post by ZombieGranny » Sat Feb 11, 2012 2:30 pm

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Last edited by ZombieGranny on Wed Sep 24, 2014 10:07 am, edited 1 time in total.
In my day, we didn't have virtual reality.
If a one-eyed razorback barbarian warrior was chasing you with an ax, you just had to hope you could outrun him.
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Preps buy us time. Time to learn how and time to remember how. Time to figure out what is a want, what is a need.

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majorhavoc
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Re: How long would supplies last?

Post by majorhavoc » Sat Feb 11, 2012 2:59 pm

Well, it would be dependent the nature of the actual disaster. You mention zombies as the scenario and you do say you're new, so you might not be aware that we use zombies as a metaphor for any real disaster/emergency. While we're dead serious about preparing for emergencies, we don't literally mean the zombie apocalypse. But gosh, we do love to talk about the undead!

So with that out the way, on to the zombie apocalypse!

Even assuming an extremely virulent and global zombie infection, I suspect that electricity might still continue running for weeks if not months, at least in some places. But the transportation and and fuel delivery infrastructure that supports our electrical grid would rapidly begin to breakdown, even in areas the infection has not yet reached. Everything is so interdependent that things would go south very quickly. I'd remain cautiously optimistic that resources and labor expectations would give priority to basic services like power, water, communications and essential government services. But eventually, utility workers will become afraid to leave their homes, want to focus on their own preps and/or lack the fuel to drive themselves to work. Once that begins to happen, I imagine what we've come to recognize as a functioning society would rapidly grind to a halt.

The movie "Contagion" does a decent job of illustrating some of the effects on society when people become frightening of even having contact with each other. Trash collection stops, fuel deliveries to the corner gas station cease, people stop going into work, transportation and commerce grind to a halt. It would probably happen very quickly and not just because of actual physical threat. It would occur because of widespread fear surrounding that threat.

Society could collapse for a variety of reasons, but fear itself will greatly hasten the process once it starts.

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DannusMaximus
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Re: How long would supplies last?

Post by DannusMaximus » Wed Feb 15, 2012 11:26 am

majorhavoc wrote:Even assuming an extremely virulent and global zombie infection, I suspect that electricity might still continue running for weeks if not months, at least in some places. But the transportation and and fuel delivery infrastructure that supports our electrical grid would rapidly begin to breakdown, even in areas the infection has not yet reached. Everything is so interdependent that things would go south very quickly. I'd remain cautiously optimistic that resources and labor expectations would give priority to basic services like power, water, communications and essential government services. But eventually, utility workers will become afraid to leave their homes, want to focus on their own preps and/or lack the fuel to drive themselves to work. Once that begins to happen, I imagine what we've come to recognize as a functioning society would rapidly grind to a halt.
I'm going to do my damndest to find an article (written by a power plant employee) that explains how long modern electrical plants would last in a major disaster. I ran across it once and should have copied it somewhere. The answer is they will all go offline shockingly fast, like in a matter of hours, not days. Electrical plants depend on 'just on time' delivery of fuel and other supplies that make them (ironically) very dependent on the very grid they provide.

I'll post it if I find it.

And... found it (or something pretty damn close). Linky: http://www.straightdope.com/columns/rea ... city-fails

Summary for the tl;dr crowd:

Bottom line? My guess is that within 4-6 hours there would be scattered blackouts and brownouts in numerous areas, within 12 hours much of the system would be unstable, and within 24 hours most portions of the United States and Canada, aside from a rare island of service in a rural area near a hydroelectric source, would be without power. Some installations served by wind farms and solar might continue, but they would be very small. By the end of a week, I'd be surprised if more than a few abandoned sites were still supplying power.
Holmes: "You have arms, I suppose?
Watson: "Yes, I thought it as well to take them."
Holmes: "Most certainly! Keep your revolver near you night and day, and never relax your precautions..."

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benja455
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How long would supplies last?

Post by benja455 » Wed Feb 15, 2012 11:39 am

You also have to account for any damage that occurs because of rioting or theft.

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