2018 Hurricane Season

Topics in this category pertain to planning. Discussions include how to prepare yourself, your family and your community for catastrophes and what you plan to do when they hit you.

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MPMalloy
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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by MPMalloy » Tue Sep 04, 2018 3:51 pm

raptor wrote:
Tue Sep 04, 2018 2:03 pm
...they have ordered all of their tenants to leave and those who do not leave are facing a $1,000 per day fine in addition to the extra liability for any damage their vessels cause due to the storm winds.
:shock:

Stuff like that SOP?

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raptor
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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by raptor » Tue Sep 04, 2018 4:22 pm

MPMalloy wrote:
Tue Sep 04, 2018 3:51 pm
raptor wrote:
Tue Sep 04, 2018 2:03 pm
...they have ordered all of their tenants to leave and those who do not leave are facing a $1,000 per day fine in addition to the extra liability for any damage their vessels cause due to the storm winds.
:shock:

Stuff like that SOP?
Nope that is not the norm in this area. The Marina is a municipal marina and is poorly run. The funny thing is if you go to their site they advertise that live aboard owners are welcome and they have space for this. The reason they have space is exactly because of this evacuation BS. Where are they going to go? To another marina that lets them stay for storms.

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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by RickOShea » Tue Sep 04, 2018 5:01 pm

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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by absinthe beginner » Tue Sep 04, 2018 5:51 pm

Tropical Storm Gordon: Storm expected to hit Mississippi as first hurricane to make landfall this season

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/worl ... 23011.html

Residents of the US gulf states are bracing for the onset of Tropical Storm Gordon, which could become the first Atlantic hurricane to make landfall this season.

Gordon was expected to strike near Mississippi on Tuesday, according to the US National Hurricane Centre (NHC). The storm, which has sustained wind speeds of up to 65 mph (100 km/h), could bring life-threatening flash floods and storm surges to much of the north-central Gulf Coast this week.

A hurricane warning was in effect from the northern coast of Mississippi to the border of Alabama and Florida on Tuesday afternoon, while a tropical storm warning extended westward into Louisiana. The NHC also issued a storm surge warning from Louisiana to Alabama, suggesting there could be a serious inundation of water from the coastline.

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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by MPMalloy » Tue Sep 04, 2018 6:39 pm

From ABC (Australia): Eight dead as Typhoon Jebi slams Japan, sends 2,600-tonne tanker crashing into a bridge
High winds and heavy rain have whipped the Japanese cities of Kobe and Osaka and surrounding areas, as a powerful typhoon made landfall, reportedly killing at least eight people and injuring more than 150.
From NPR: Gordon Is Forecast To Hit Northern U.S. Gulf Coast As A Hurricane Tuesday Night
Updated at 1:55 p.m. ET

Tropical Storm Gordon will likely strengthen into a hurricane before hitting the northern U.S. Gulf Coast on Tuesday night, forecasters say, urging people along the coast from Louisiana to Florida to be wary of a dangerous storm surge and flash floods.

Gordon's eye was heading toward an area around Gulfport, Miss., the National Hurricane Center said in its 2 p.m. ET update. The storm was moving at 15 mph, some 130 miles south-southeast of Mobile, Ala.

Gordon was packing maximum sustained winds of 65 mph — short of the 74-mph threshold for a hurricane. A hurricane warning was in effect for the area from the Mississippi-Louisiana border to the Alabama-Florida border.
From NPR: Gulf Coast Residents Already Feeling Impact Of Tropical Storm Gordon
September 4, 2018 5:51 PM ET By Debbie Elliot

Residents along the northern Gulf of Mexico are preparing for a strong tropical system. Tropical storm Gordon is expected to bring heavy rain, flooding and possible tornadoes from the Florida panhandle to Louisiana.

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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by raptor » Tue Sep 04, 2018 9:13 pm

Looking at the radar it looks like Bayou La Batre is getting it now...Run Forest! Run!

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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by MPMalloy » Tue Sep 04, 2018 9:27 pm

raptor wrote:
Tue Sep 04, 2018 9:13 pm
Looking at the radar it looks like Bayou La Batre is getting it now...Run Forest! Run!
Are you in the path?

No I am about 85 miles away and since it is thankfully a small storm it will not affect me.

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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by RickOShea » Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:32 pm

Well, at one point we had over 3000 accounts out, but when the crews got Ono Island and northwest Gulf Shores back on it went down to around 1500 accounts.....most of those remaining are in the Fort Morgan and Bon Secour areas. I'm sure the War Room is still jumpin' (the dispatch/system control center).




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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by MPMalloy » Wed Sep 05, 2018 12:05 am

From NPR: Tropical Storm Gordon Makes Landfall In Mississippi
Updated at 11:18 p.m. ET

Tropical Storm Gordon has made landfall in Mississippi just west of the Alabama border, according to the National Hurricane Center.

Forecasters are urging people along the Gulf Coast from Louisiana to Florida to be wary of a dangerous storm surge and flash floods.

As of 11 p.m. ET, maximum sustained winds were near 70 mph, just 4 mph shy of the hurricane threshold. The storm was moving at 14 mph, some 30 miles east-southeast of Biloxi, Miss., and 35 miles south-southwest of Mobile, Ala.

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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by Langenator » Wed Sep 05, 2018 6:51 am

Most of the projections have Gordon taking a right turn over Arkansas (not Albequerque) and heading into the Midwest and the Ohio River drainage. Lots of rain.
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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by raptor » Wed Sep 05, 2018 11:03 am

Gordon literally imploded and broke up when it hit the coastline. It s now well inland and mainly a rain event.

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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by RickOShea » Wed Sep 05, 2018 7:03 pm

We got right at 8 inches of rain here at the OShea Armadillo Ranch & Coyote Preserve. I'm not sure about the wind. My gauge never showed more than 10 mph, and I know that's wrong.
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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by Langenator » Wed Sep 05, 2018 8:38 pm

Honestly, Gordon never actually managed to form an eyewall...I'm not sure if it actually crossed the threshold to Cat 1, but everything I've read said it was a Tropical Storm when it officially made land fall.
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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by absinthe beginner » Wed Sep 05, 2018 8:39 pm

Another hurricane inbound.

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-09- ... -next-week

Florence, which became the first significant hurricane (Category +3) of the 2018 Atlantic season, had maximum sustained winds of 130 mph, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). The powerful Category 4 storm is some 2,000 miles from the US coastline, but it is moving northwest at 13mph, will generate big swells in Bermuda starting Friday and could slam into the US East Coast next week.

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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by MPMalloy » Wed Sep 05, 2018 8:52 pm

From CNBC: Florence upgraded to Category 4 hurricane in Atlantic
Hurricane Florence has been upgraded to a Category 4.
The National Hurricane Center predicts the storm will cause "life-threatening" conditions in Bermuda.
Forecasters expect Florence to weaken over the next several days.
Florence has been upgraded to a Category 4 hurricane and is likely to cause "life-threatening" surf and rip current conditions in Bermuda later this week.

The National Hurricane Center said the storm's maximum sustained winds Wednesday afternoon are estimated to be 130 mph (215 kph).

Hurricane Florence is centered about 1,295 miles (2,080 kilometers) east-southeast of Bermuda and is moving northwest at 13 mph (20 kph).

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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by Langenator » Thu Sep 06, 2018 6:22 am

Fortunis Fortus Paratus

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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by raptor » Thu Sep 06, 2018 1:28 pm

The models for Florence show Georgia to Greenland as possible targets. The median path shows main. So heads up east coast folks. pay attention to this for the next few days.


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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by MPMalloy » Thu Sep 06, 2018 5:38 pm

From NPR: Hurricane Florence's Path Shifts Westward, Putting Bermuda On Notice
Hurricane Florence has weakened but will likely grow into a major hurricane as it nears Bermuda, the National Hurricane Center says. And while its long-term path is still uncertain, the storm is expected to begin affecting parts of the U.S. East Coast over the next few days.

Florence was packing maximum sustained winds of 105 mph as of late Thursday morning, the hurricane center said. That marked a drop from one day earlier, when Florence suddenly strengthened and sustained winds hit 130 mph — making it the first major hurricane of the 2018 Atlantic season.

Forecasters say Florence is likely to weaken further over the next day or two and then regain strength as it nears Bermuda and the U.S. The storm is currently over the open ocean, more than 1,000 miles east-southeast of Bermuda, moving northwest at 10 mph.

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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by raptor » Fri Sep 07, 2018 6:33 pm

Ok the forecast for Florence has narrowed a bit. No need to panic but it time for the east coast (GA to MD) to start paying attention to the latest forecasts over the weekend.

It is still a long way out but by Tuesday AM the track should be a lot more certain.

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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by RickOShea » Sat Sep 08, 2018 11:18 am

Ugh.....




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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by MPMalloy » Sun Sep 09, 2018 12:42 pm

From NPR: Florence, Now A Hurricane, Is One Of Many Threats To The Atlantic And Pacific
A slew of dangerous storms – hurricanes, tropical storms and a typhoon — are currently traveling over both the Atlantic and Pacific.

The National Hurricane Center has issued advisories for the Atlantic on Hurricane Florence, and two tropical storms, Helene and Isaac. The NHC has also issued an advisory for the Eastern Pacific on Tropical Storm Paul, and the Central Pacific Hurricane Center has issued advisories for Hurricane Olivia, which is moving quickly westward toward Hawaii. According to The Weather Channel, a typhoon named Mangkhut is also intensifying in the western Pacific and is on track to hit Guam, Rota, Saipan and Tinian on Monday. The National Weather Service has issued a warning saying Mangkhut will bring tropical storm force winds between 65 and 100 knots.

From CNBC: Tropical Storm Florence intensifies, expected to become a hurricane by Monday en route to the US
Florence, the tropical storm churning in the Atlantic Ocean since late last week, is expected to strengthen into a Category 1 hurricane by Monday en route to the southeastern U.S. coast, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said on Sunday.

The NOAA said that Florence currently has maximum sustained winds to near 75 miles per hour with strong gusts, and is likely to remain "an extremely dangerous major hurricane through Thursday," when it is expected to make landfall in the U.S.

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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by absinthe beginner » Sun Sep 09, 2018 6:39 pm

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/09/09/tropica ... onday.html

Florence, the tropical storm churning in the Atlantic Ocean since late last week, is expected to strengthen into a Category 1 hurricane by Monday en route to the southeastern U.S. coast, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said on Sunday.

The NOAA said that Florence currently has maximum sustained winds to near 75 miles per hour with strong gusts, and is likely to remain "an extremely dangerous major hurricane through Thursday," when it is expected to make landfall in the U.S.

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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by absinthe beginner » Mon Sep 10, 2018 10:44 am

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/hurri ... 2018-05-31

Hurricane season bears down — with 7 million homes at risk and a flood insurance program set to expire

If this summer has had you trying to get to grips with hurricane season, you’re not alone. Millions of homes across the U.S. sit in harm’s way, and the resulting damage could be in the trillions of dollars, according to a 2018 report.

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Re: 2018 Hurricane Season

Post by Langenator » Mon Sep 10, 2018 11:50 am

At noon EDT, Florence was upgraded to Category 4 strength based on hurricane hunter data.

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/Hurri ... a-Thursday
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