Search found 13359 matches

by raptor
Mon Mar 09, 2020 10:56 am
Forum: Contingency Planning & Preparation
Topic: Global Debt Time Bomb explodes soon
Replies: 4559
Views: 253703

Re: Global Debt Time Bomb explodes soon

Nope, it happened. WTI dipped briefly down to $27 last night. Going to be an interesting week. I am thinking oil will hang right around the profit zone (25-30) for shale as the House of Saud reasserts dominance in the market over the US for the foreseeable future. Yep you were right. It got ugly re...
by raptor
Sat Mar 07, 2020 6:14 pm
Forum: Contingency Planning & Preparation
Topic: "Daily COVID-19 SITREP In Your Area"
Replies: 488
Views: 6878

Re: "Daily COVID-19 SITREP In Your Area"

I went to Walmart near (25 miles) my farm for a few things. There was plenty of toilet paper and soap. No hand sanitizer but a lot of 91% alcohol. At the door check the lady said in a low tone that there is a shortage of TP and that she was going to get some more "just in case" before she went home....
by raptor
Sat Mar 07, 2020 10:45 am
Forum: Contingency Planning & Preparation
Topic: Global Debt Time Bomb explodes soon
Replies: 4559
Views: 253703

Re: Global Debt Time Bomb explodes soon

The price of oil dropping will assist segments of the economy and hurt others a lot. Obviously lower oil prices are good for the consumer. The price of gas, heating oil, diesel and jet fuel will drop. The main issue with this lies in the fact that oil exploration and production (E&P) is a huge contr...
by raptor
Fri Mar 06, 2020 5:30 pm
Forum: Contingency Planning & Preparation
Topic: Global Debt Time Bomb explodes soon
Replies: 4559
Views: 253703

Re: Global Debt Time Bomb explodes soon

Basically the takeaway is this: When you win the lotto - call raptor :mrgreen: You do not have to be a genius when you avoid investing in a company that does this to the PTB in the real world. https://www.wsj.com/articles/top-saudi-royal-family-members-detained-11583531033 Saudi Arabian authorities...
by raptor
Fri Mar 06, 2020 12:21 pm
Forum: Contingency Planning & Preparation
Topic: Global Debt Time Bomb explodes soon
Replies: 4559
Views: 253703

Re: Global Debt Time Bomb explodes soon

I thought the IPO was only for 1.5% and around $300M? I mean it is more money than I will ever have but just a drop in the bucket. It was a weird IPO but no they actually raised almost $30 billion USD. Granted not a lot in comparison the cost of modern weapons but still not exactly chump change. Th...
by raptor
Fri Mar 06, 2020 11:56 am
Forum: Contingency Planning & Preparation
Topic: "Daily COVID-19 SITREP In Your Area"
Replies: 488
Views: 6878

Re: "Daily COVID-19 SITREP In Your Area"

Because ammo.com is a local (to me) NOLA company. They have seen their ammo sales spike. Note this the following stats are for this one company. YMMV https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ammunition-sales-soar-response-coronavirus-133400231.html They published this caliber breakdown. When it comes to actua...
by raptor
Fri Mar 06, 2020 11:35 am
Forum: Contingency Planning & Preparation
Topic: "Daily COVID-19 SITREP In Your Area"
Replies: 488
Views: 6878

Re: "Daily COVID-19 SITREP In Your Area"

DIY hand sanitizer is easy. You need alcohol with ideally a 70% concentration (or 140 proof grain alcohol). Isopropyl alcohol in stores is normally 90%+ but check the concentration level. A hand lotion like Aloe Vera gel is ideal. Simply mix the products to achieve a 70% concentration of the alcohol...
by raptor
Thu Mar 05, 2020 7:39 pm
Forum: Contingency Planning & Preparation
Topic: Global Debt Time Bomb explodes soon
Replies: 4559
Views: 253703

Re: Global Debt Time Bomb explodes soon

The Saudis are really in a bind since they are trying to purchase a US style military. If they can't support it then they may cancel US contracts which will really throw the US economy in to a tailspin. Normally I would agree with that statement but if you remember in Dec 2019 their IPO for 10% of ...
by raptor
Thu Mar 05, 2020 4:40 pm
Forum: Contingency Planning & Preparation
Topic: Global Debt Time Bomb explodes soon
Replies: 4559
Views: 253703

Re: Global Debt Time Bomb explodes soon

IF anyone is still riding the razorback healthcare stocks are doing amazing to no ones surprise. If you have the stomach for it TVIX is designed for exactly this kind of market environment. YMMV! It is up 31 % today. https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TVIX?p=TVIX YTD return is 118% all of which occurr...
by raptor
Wed Mar 04, 2020 10:42 pm
Forum: Contingency Planning & Preparation
Topic: "Daily COVID-19 SITREP In Your Area"
Replies: 488
Views: 6878

Re: "Daily COVID-19 SITREP In Your Area"

This is a great topic for this section. Thank you for starting it.

No COVID 19 in NOLA, Southern MS or Gillette WY to date. (The 3 places I frequent)

The flu on the other hand is still reported as very active.
by raptor
Wed Mar 04, 2020 10:36 pm
Forum: Disasters in Current Events
Topic: COVID-19 Thread
Replies: 1056
Views: 25035

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

Just remember as the numbers grow, it can take 12+ days for people to pass away in the hospital, especially those on the younger side. So there is a big lag in fatalities versus cases in the numbers we see. I agree the stats are incomplete. That said the mortality percentage is death divided by inf...
by raptor
Wed Mar 04, 2020 3:48 pm
Forum: Disasters in Current Events
Topic: COVID-19 Thread
Replies: 1056
Views: 25035

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

My conclusion: We won't really knows the true numbers until there are no new cases and everyone has either recovered or died, but as we gather more data we can generate better estimates. I will stand by my logic but I think the above statement is closer to the truth. To me the real problem with the...
by raptor
Tue Mar 03, 2020 5:54 pm
Forum: Contingency Planning & Preparation
Topic: Global Debt Time Bomb explodes soon
Replies: 4559
Views: 253703

Re: Global Debt Time Bomb explodes soon

Actually it was kind of funny the market was up ...a lot! And then the Fed eases the interest rate 1/2 point and the bottom dropped out for the day. It was a good day to long on TVIX... it was up 27% when I posed this. https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TVIX?p=TVIX&.tsrc=fin-srch A classic case of "Hu...
by raptor
Tue Mar 03, 2020 4:39 pm
Forum: Disasters in Current Events
Topic: COVID-19 Thread
Replies: 1056
Views: 25035

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

From this article on how big corps are prepping shows these stats: China 92,817 cases 3,159 dead U.S. 117 cases. 9 dead Iran. 2,336 cases. 77 dead Italy. 2,502 cases 79 dead S. Korea 5,186 cases. 28 dead Also, among the corporate reports, Eli Lilly stayed it doesn’t expect shortages of any medicine...
by raptor
Tue Mar 03, 2020 3:43 pm
Forum: Disasters in Current Events
Topic: COVID-19 Thread
Replies: 1056
Views: 25035

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

raptor, do you have a take on this? You're quite level headed regarding the COVID-zombies. Well, any and everyone else too, please. New read on the numbers that might play out and when. Thought it an enjoyable read that was well reasoned. Am certainly curious about its plausibility, or non-. https:...
by raptor
Tue Mar 03, 2020 2:32 pm
Forum: Contingency Planning & Preparation
Topic: Global Debt Time Bomb explodes soon
Replies: 4559
Views: 253703

Re: Global Debt Time Bomb explodes soon

^^^^ Well said^^^

But I still chalk it up the "Hurricane Madness" by both the Fed and the market. :D
by raptor
Tue Mar 03, 2020 2:25 pm
Forum: Contingency Planning & Preparation
Topic: Global Debt Time Bomb explodes soon
Replies: 4559
Views: 253703

Re: Global Debt Time Bomb explodes soon

Actually it was kind of funny the market was up ...a lot! And then the Fed eases the interest rate 1/2 point and the bottom dropped out for the day. It was a good day to long on TVIX... it was up 27% when I posed this. https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TVIX?p=TVIX&.tsrc=fin-srch A classic case of "Hur...
by raptor
Tue Mar 03, 2020 2:08 pm
Forum: Contingency Planning & Preparation
Topic: Pandemic Preparations Influenza, Ebola & Updated for COVID 2019.
Replies: 164
Views: 19803

Re: Pandemic Preparations Influenza, Ebola & Updated for COVID 2019.

I already bought 1 month of grocery as a preparation. There already 90,932 confirmed cases worldwide and 103 in the US. I hope this doesn't get any worse than this. Welcome to the forum! Please go to the introduction thread and introduce yourself when you get a chance. https://www.zombiehunters.org...
by raptor
Tue Mar 03, 2020 12:46 pm
Forum: Disasters in Current Events
Topic: COVID-19 Thread
Replies: 1056
Views: 25035

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

raptor, do you have a take on this? You're quite level headed regarding the COVID-zombies. Well, any and everyone else too, please. New read on the numbers that might play out and when. Thought it an enjoyable read that was well reasoned. Am certainly curious about its plausibility, or non-. https:...
by raptor
Tue Mar 03, 2020 12:15 pm
Forum: Disasters in Current Events
Topic: COVID-19 Thread
Replies: 1056
Views: 25035

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

Plentiful because we are a very small nation and there are hospitals and clinics everywhere, which provide top quality care. I imagine when you're in the sticks and Bubba gets bit by a rattler you could be in a bit of a pickle. In that case a good veterinarian would be your best bet. Raw cultural i...
by raptor
Mon Mar 02, 2020 6:53 pm
Forum: Disasters in Current Events
Topic: COVID-19 Thread
Replies: 1056
Views: 25035

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

I am going to go ahead and pretend that you didn't say that 4 million dead in the US of a new health threat is not worrying or life altering. It would mean more people would die from that than all other causes, combined. Did not say that at all. I was however pointing out that COVID 19 does not hav...
by raptor
Mon Mar 02, 2020 6:14 pm
Forum: Disasters in Current Events
Topic: COVID-19 Thread
Replies: 1056
Views: 25035

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

6 dead from coronavirus in Washington state, first US deaths Fourteen people in King County and four in Snohomish County tested positive for coronavirus as of March 2. Six of those people died https://www.ktvb.com/article/news/health/coronavirus/6-dead-from-coronavirus-in-washington-state-first-us-...
by raptor
Mon Mar 02, 2020 6:06 pm
Forum: Disasters in Current Events
Topic: COVID-19 Thread
Replies: 1056
Views: 25035

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

Reminds me of two somewhat related observations. One: in addition to the CoVid-19 virus, I recently got recertified for ARC First Aid/CPR/AED. There are a lot more nasty things out there than CONVID 19. Blood Borne Pathogens like hep A, B & C are reasons enough to wash your hands. Observation two:....
by raptor
Mon Mar 02, 2020 5:16 pm
Forum: Disasters in Current Events
Topic: COVID-19 Thread
Replies: 1056
Views: 25035

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

An interesting hotspot is Iran. https://www.rferl.org/a/iran-sudden-spread-of-coronavirus-leads-to-distrust-in-state-handling-of-disease/30447874.html Iran puzzles over the origin of the corona virus in its own country The extent of possible Sars-CoV-2 infections in Iran is currently still completel...

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