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by the_alias
Fri Feb 28, 2020 12:21 pm
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

Here's an interesting twitter thread about PANIC

https://twitter.com/Scholars_Stage/stat ... 7397552128
by the_alias
Thu Feb 27, 2020 1:58 pm
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

In 1918 the pandemic affected ~28% of the US became infected and of those approximately 0.48 to 0.64 percent of the population died. Also remember that the 1918 flu had a very disparate death rate AND it came in 2 waves. 1918 America didn't have people criss-crossing the country between hotspots. M...
by the_alias
Wed Feb 26, 2020 1:58 pm
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

Cross posting for visibility. This is a companies plan I lifted: Triggers and Actions Phase 1 Triggers More than 100 instances of in-the-wild person-to-person virus transmission between people who are not close relatives/living in the same house and outside of a hospital setting, occurring within th...
by the_alias
Wed Feb 26, 2020 1:56 pm
Forum: Contingency Planning & Preparation
Topic: Pandemic Preparations Influenza, Ebola & Updated for COVID 2019.
Replies: 176
Views: 24681

Re: Pandemic Preparations Influenza & coronavirus -Updated for Ebola.

Here's a companies plan I lifted to show how some companies are approaching it; Triggers and Actions Phase 1 Triggers More than 100 instances of in-the-wild person-to-person virus transmission between people who are not close relatives/living in the same house and outside of a hospital setting, occu...
by the_alias
Tue Feb 25, 2020 11:00 pm
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

Please keep this discussion civil. Please act like the mature adults I know you both to be. ------------- It is quite sad to me to see this issue be swept up by the highly political nature of life in America. Faith in institutions and those who staff them is at an all time low regardless of what you...
by the_alias
Tue Feb 25, 2020 11:25 am
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

I shouldn't be surprised by part of me is.

CDC are now saying they may not have working kits for another 2 weeks?

Hawaii is asking for kits from Japan.

I predict this pandemic could have averse outcomes on the political processes in this country.
by the_alias
Mon Feb 24, 2020 12:57 pm
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

There's this meme going around that people are saying "it's just the flu" and clearly it isn't "just the flu" BUT I was poking around because our CDC has dropped the ball. Here are some weekly death stats for Pneumonia from last year: https://i.imgur.com/jAKlCDq.png Here are the ones from this year ...
by the_alias
Fri Feb 21, 2020 6:11 pm
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

Yes that is the regular influenza...not the Kung Flu...and the regular influenza is rampaging throughout the US. https://philadelphia.cbslocal.com/2020/02/18/health-officials-us-experiencing-worst-flu-season-for-children-in-past-decade-as-second-influenza-wave-spreading/ Yeh, but as we aren't getti...
by the_alias
Fri Feb 21, 2020 3:05 pm
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

Looking at a few flu reporting parts of state CDC websites is interesting. https://www.azdhs.gov/preparedness/epidemiology-disease-control/flu/index.php#surveillance-influenza-season Looks like a spike? Colorado says https://www.colorado.gov/pacific/cdphe/influenza Are those elevated numbers from ba...
by the_alias
Fri Feb 21, 2020 11:27 am
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

Seems like a big few days in growth of the virus.

South Korea spikes cases

Iran comes out of nowhere with 2 dead immediately and cases

Italy has more cases and is asking for people to lock themselves down in villages...
by the_alias
Tue Feb 18, 2020 12:03 pm
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

The British super spreader who infected a family in France has been released and is fine: A British family who contracted coronavirus at a French ski resort have been discharged from hospital, the French health minister, Olivier Véran, has said. The British nationals, including a nine-year-old child...
by the_alias
Mon Feb 17, 2020 1:40 pm
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

They're pretty much admitting now this came from the lab in Wuhan.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... atory.html

Wild.
by the_alias
Mon Feb 10, 2020 10:45 am
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

It has been a few days of below-peak daily infection rates (at least based on official numbers), which roughly correlates with 14 days (the claimed upper-bound of the incubation period) past the mass quarantines in China, and the subsequent public awareness/behavior changes everywhere. It looks lik...
by the_alias
Mon Feb 10, 2020 10:12 am
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

I think the CDC is likely to massively drop the ball on this. The UK now has 8 cases - but they say As of 10 February, a total of 1,114 people have been tested, of which 1,106 were confirmed negative and 8 positive. (source https://www.gov.uk/guidance/wuhan-novel-coronavirus-information-for-the-publ...
by the_alias
Thu Feb 06, 2020 10:36 am
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

Maybe this is a bit taboo but:
According to Chinese scientists, the Corona Virus attaches onto lung receptors that are five times more likely in Asian males:
https://twitter.com/Perpetualmaniac/sta ... 1797926912

https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101 ... 985v1.full
by the_alias
Wed Feb 05, 2020 11:47 am
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

I still go back to the PRC's reaction to an illness that they claim kills fewer people than influenza. Closing off a quarantining 80 million +/- people is not something done routinely for an influenza outbreak. Not sure this is fair. 2% mortality is the official line I see. Flu is something around ...
by the_alias
Wed Feb 05, 2020 11:42 am
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

If you believe the notion those are the true numbers add the confirmed and predicted cases together and look at the death rate doesn't it come out to roughly 10%, that's what Spanish Flu levels high of mortality?
by the_alias
Tue Feb 04, 2020 11:04 am
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

I'd like to request less video posting from unverified sources - this isn't a Mod request but a personal one. They just don't seem productive or useful to me. ------------ That aside a few thoughts and observations. Been noticing a few people on Twitter pointing out the infection rate is increasing ...
by the_alias
Mon Feb 03, 2020 12:36 pm
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

I thought somewhere in these last ten pages of posts that one of the articles alleged a Wuhan hospital had run out of key testing kits. Does that sound familiar to anyone else or is my aging memory playing tricks on me? A quick google search showed numerous articles about running out of protective ...
by the_alias
Fri Jan 31, 2020 2:38 pm
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

Twitter thread on possibility of it being man-made

https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1 ... 04832?s=20
by the_alias
Fri Jan 31, 2020 12:22 pm
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

https://jameslyonsweiler.com/2020/01/30/on-the-origins-of-the-2019-ncov-virus-wuhan-china/ I'm not sure on the validity of the claims as I don't profess to understand the science, but as we're posting bunch of things in here... The TL;DR from that: The implications are clear: if China sensitized the...
by the_alias
Wed Jan 29, 2020 9:14 am
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

British Airways just suspended all direct flights from the UK to China.

Lufthansa considering the same.
by the_alias
Wed Jan 29, 2020 9:06 am
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

Remarkable in that video the journo claimed there was no Ebola vaccine. Afaik there are two, one has been given to healthcare workers and former CDC director didn’t correct her.

Sars 2003 60% china was rural population. Now its 60% urban
by the_alias
Sat Jan 25, 2020 1:04 pm
Forum: All Things COVID-19
Topic: COVID-19 Chat Thread
Replies: 1424
Views: 53296

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Thread

These are the people that will pass and enforce any quarantine efforts. They are telegraphing their possible/future moves right now. [ i] Pay attention. [/i] From 2010? This was likely outcome of 2009 H1N1 observations. Not sure if you are implying negativity so don't take this as directed at you b...

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